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Research

ADAUSD W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
442 ADAUSD W candles
Period
2018-04-23 – 2026-10-05 (8.5 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D4H1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme15 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical18 times
↑22.2%
↓77.8%
Bull Bias★★26 times
↑50%
↓50%
Neutral35 times
↑34.3%
↓65.7%
Bear Bias38 times
↑57.9%
↓42.1%
Bear Critical20 times
↑80%
↓20%
Bear Extreme6 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bull Bias→Buyers→

ADAUSD — Bear Extreme — W

Occurrences: 6 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 6 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

ADAUSD — Bear Critical — W

Occurrences: 20 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 16 times — 80%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 4 times — 20%

ADAUSD — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 38 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 22 times — 57.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 16 times — 42.1%

ADAUSD — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 35 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 12 times — 34.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 23 times — 65.7%

ADAUSD — Bull Bias — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 26 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 13 times — 50%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 13 times — 50%

Current market energy at 25.53%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 34.47 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 4.65 points

ADAUSD — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 18 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 4 times — 22.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 14 times — 77.8%

ADAUSD — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 15 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 15 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of ADAUSD?

Historically, when ADAUSD was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 50% of the time and down to a lower zone 50% of the time (across 26 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 25.53%, 34.47 points from the upper bound and 4.65 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 442 candles from 2018-04-23 to 2026-10-05, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing ADAUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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