Analysis

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Price and energy
CHFJPY from 189.7515 to 189.2555, down 0.26%
Market Energy Bull Bias 21.0% to Bear Critical -71.3%, down 92.3 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.05%0.02%0.18%0.26%
Energy14.25.015.992.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.05% 0.02% 0.18% 0.26% 14.2 5.0 15.9 92.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.26% — higher than 88% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 92.3 pts — higher than 97% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical CHFJPY 4H

Sample: 211 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 6 times

When CHFJPY is in Bear Critical:

  • then CHFJPY moved to higher Market State: 4 times66.7%
  • then CHFJPY moved to lower Market State: 2 times33.3%

Current CHFJPY market energy: -71.32%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 11.32%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 3.18%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

CHFJPY · H4 · 2026-09-11 05:00 UTC
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Market Energy
21.0%
Bull Bias
-71.3%
Bear Critical
Expected at
20:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded CHFJPY in the near-extreme Bear energy level after the 4H candle closed.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy at -71.3%, down -92.3% from 21% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, CHFJPY Market Energy ranged from -91.4 to +36.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did CHFJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, CHFJPY was at 189.2555, down 0.26% from the previous candle (189.7515). Market Energy was -71.3%, down 92.3 points from 21%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did CHFJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

CHFJPY closed at 189.2555, down 0.26% from the previous 4H candle (189.7515). This drop is larger than 88% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for CHFJPY, across 216 candles since 2019.

How did CHFJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 92.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 21% to -71.3%. This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for CHFJPY.

Do CHFJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was CHFJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had CHFJPY at 21%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, CHFJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does CHFJPY energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -71.3%, CHFJPY is 11.32 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 3.18 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 87.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 89.5%. Against this backdrop, CHFJPY (Bear Critical, -71.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -28.8%. CHFJPY (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for CHFJPY.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for CHFJPY on the CHFJPY overview →

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