Analysis

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Price and energy
AUDUSD from 0.71609 to 0.71678, up 0.10%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -79.7% to Bear Critical -66.4%, up 13.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.12%0.11%0.06%0.10%
Energy2.67.48.313.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.12% 0.11% 0.06% 0.10% 2.6 7.4 8.3 13.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.10% — higher than 39% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 13.4 pts — higher than 61% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical AUDUSD 4H

Sample: 18,182 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 616 times

When AUDUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then AUDUSD moved to higher Market State: 437 times70.9%
  • then AUDUSD moved to lower Market State: 179 times29.1%

Current AUDUSD market energy: -66.36%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 6.36%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 8.14%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

AUDUSD · H4 · 2026-09-11 05:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-79.7%
Bear Extreme
-66.4%
Bear Critical
Expected at
20:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, AUDUSD classified as Bear trend energy near extreme.

On the energy side, Market Energy moved from -79.7% to -66.4%, up +13.4% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDUSD Market Energy ranged from -98 to +60.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, AUDUSD was at 0.71678, up 0.1% from the previous candle (0.71609). Market Energy was -66.4%, up 13.4 points from -79.7%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did AUDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDUSD closed at 0.71678, up 0.1% from the previous 4H candle (0.71609). This rise is larger than 39% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AUDUSD, across 11,976 candles since 2019.

How did AUDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 13.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -79.7% to -66.4%. This rise is larger than 61% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AUDUSD.

Do AUDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AUDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDUSD at -79.7%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, AUDUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does AUDUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -66.4%, AUDUSD is 6.36 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 8.14 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 87.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 89.5%. Against this backdrop, AUDUSD (Bear Critical, -66.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -28.8%. AUDUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDUSD.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDUSD on the AUDUSD overview →

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