AUDUSD 4H: Energy Zone Transition Trends
Candle close
- Study type
- Historical statistics
- Question answered
- Direction of market moves
- Principle
- Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
- Candles studied
- 18,358 AUDUSD 4H candles
- Period
- 2014-12-31 – 2026-10-22 (11.8 years)
- Result
- 7-zone table below ↓
Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
AUDUSD — Bear Extreme — 4H
Occurrences: 259 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 259 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%
AUDUSD — Bear Critical — 4H
Occurrences: 626 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 445 times — 71.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 181 times — 28.9%
AUDUSD — Bear Bias — 4H
Occurrences: 1,520 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,039 times — 68.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 481 times — 31.6%
AUDUSD — Neutral — 4H
Occurrences: 2,016 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,034 times — 51.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 982 times — 48.7%
AUDUSD — Bull Bias — 4H
◉ CURRENT CANDLEOccurrences: 1,497 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 424 times — 28.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,073 times — 71.7%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 25.28 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 13.84 points
AUDUSD — Bull Critical — 4H
Occurrences: 582 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 179 times — 30.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 403 times — 69.2%
AUDUSD — Bull Extreme — 4H
Occurrences: 225 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 225 times — 100%
What is the trend of AUDUSD?
Historically, when AUDUSD was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 28.3% of the time and down to a lower zone 71.7% of the time (across 1,497 observations).
Where is the market within its current zone?
The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 34.72%, 25.28 points from the upper bound and 13.84 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.
How are these statistics calculated?
Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.
Where does the data come from and how many candles?
The sample contains 18,358 candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.
Are these numbers a prediction?
No. These are historical frequencies describing AUDUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.
What are the 7 market energy states?
Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.
See all 7 Market States →To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .
