Research

AUDUSD 4H — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDUSD on the AUDUSD overview →

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Sample: 18,125 candles 4H from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-28

AUDUSDBear Extreme 4H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 248 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 248 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

Current market energy at -74.6%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 0.1 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 25.4 points

AUDUSDBear Critical 4H

Occurrences: 613 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 435 times 71%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 178 times 29%

AUDUSDBear Bias 4H

Occurrences: 1,499 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,029 times 68.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 470 times 31.4%

AUDUSDNeutral 4H

Occurrences: 1,994 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,023 times 51.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 971 times 48.7%

AUDUSDBull Bias 4H

Occurrences: 1,479 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 416 times 28.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,063 times 71.9%

AUDUSDBull Critical 4H

Occurrences: 571 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 177 times 31%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 394 times 69%

AUDUSDBull Extreme 4H

Occurrences: 221 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 221 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of AUDUSD?

Historically, when AUDUSD was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 248 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -74.6%, 0.1 points from the upper bound and 25.4 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 18,125 candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-28, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing AUDUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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