Research

AUDUSD W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
648 AUDUSD W candles
Period
2015-01-05 – 2026-10-05 (11.7 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D4H1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

AUDUSD — Bear Extreme — W

Occurrences: 7 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 7 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

AUDUSD — Bear Critical — W

Occurrences: 19 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 16 times — 84.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 3 times — 15.8%

AUDUSD — Bear Bias — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 65 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 46 times — 70.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 19 times — 29.2%

Current market energy at -57.75%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 36.87 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 2.25 points

AUDUSD — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 82 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 39 times — 47.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 43 times — 52.4%

AUDUSD — Bull Bias — W

Occurrences: 49 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 8 times — 16.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 41 times — 83.7%

AUDUSD — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 9 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 3 times — 33.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 6 times — 66.7%

AUDUSD — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 4 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 4 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of AUDUSD?

Historically, when AUDUSD was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 70.8% of the time and down to a lower zone 29.2% of the time (across 65 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -57.75%, 36.87 points from the upper bound and 2.25 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 648 candles from 2015-01-05 to 2026-10-05, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing AUDUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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