Research

AUDUSD D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
6,844 AUDUSD D candles
Period
2002-05-07 – 2026-10-21 (24.5 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W4H1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

AUDUSD — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 104 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 104 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

AUDUSD — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 234 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 154 times — 65.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 80 times — 34.2%

AUDUSD — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 541 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 371 times — 68.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 170 times — 31.4%

AUDUSD — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 734 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 384 times — 52.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 350 times — 47.7%

AUDUSD — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 599 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 215 times — 35.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 384 times — 64.1%

AUDUSD — Bull Critical — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 250 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 73 times — 29.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 177 times — 70.8%

Current market energy at 69.28%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 5.22 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 9.28 points

AUDUSD — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 103 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 103 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of AUDUSD?

Historically, when AUDUSD was in the Bull Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 29.2% of the time and down to a lower zone 70.8% of the time (across 250 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%. The market is at 69.28%, 5.22 points from the upper bound and 9.28 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 6,844 candles from 2002-05-07 to 2026-10-21, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing AUDUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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