Research

AUDUSD 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
73,184 AUDUSD 1H candles
Period
2015-01-01 – 2026-10-09 (11.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
ENERGY SHIFTS
▲ to a higher zone▼ to a lower zone★ current position

AUDUSD — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 1,034 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,034 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

AUDUSD — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 2,388 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,733 times — 72.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 655 times — 27.4%

AUDUSD — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 5,705 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 3,924 times — 68.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,781 times — 31.2%

AUDUSD — Neutral — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 7,514 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 3,766 times — 50.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 3,748 times — 49.9%

Current market energy at -19.3%
Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 40.18 points
Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 1.58 points

AUDUSD — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 5,616 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,684 times — 30%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 3,932 times — 70%

AUDUSD — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 2,213 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 553 times — 25%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,660 times — 75%

AUDUSD — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 916 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 916 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of AUDUSD?

Historically, when AUDUSD was in the Neutral zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 50.1% of the time and down to a lower zone 49.9% of the time (across 7,514 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%. The market is at -19.3%, 40.18 points from the upper bound and 1.58 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 73,184 candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-10-09, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing AUDUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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