Research

XPDUSD 4H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
328 XPDUSD 4H candles
Period
2026-07-23 – 2026-10-22 (0.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

XPDUSD — Bear Extreme — 4H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 15 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 15 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -90.17%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 15.67 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 9.83 points

XPDUSD — Bear Critical — 4H

Occurrences: 18 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 13 times — 72.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 5 times — 27.8%

XPDUSD — Bear Bias — 4H

Occurrences: 40 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 22 times — 55%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 18 times — 45%

XPDUSD — Neutral — 4H

Occurrences: 37 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 15 times — 40.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 22 times — 59.5%

XPDUSD — Bull Bias — 4H

Occurrences: 25 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 4 times — 16%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 21 times — 84%

XPDUSD — Bull Critical — 4H

Occurrences: 10 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 3 times — 30%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 7 times — 70%

XPDUSD — Bull Extreme — 4H

Occurrences: 6 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 6 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of XPDUSD?

Historically, when XPDUSD was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 15 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -90.17%, 15.67 points from the upper bound and 9.83 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 328 candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing XPDUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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