Research

XPDUSD 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
55,269 XPDUSD 1H candles
Period
2017-05-01 – 2026-10-09 (9.4 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
ENERGY SHIFTS
▲ to a higher zone▼ to a lower zone★ current position

XPDUSD — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 1,711 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,711 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

XPDUSD — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 2,420 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,802 times — 74.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 618 times — 25.5%

XPDUSD — Bear Bias — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 4,374 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,814 times — 64.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,560 times — 35.7%

Current market energy at -24.96%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 4.08 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 35.04 points

XPDUSD — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 4,783 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,439 times — 51%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,344 times — 49%

XPDUSD — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 4,501 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,753 times — 38.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,748 times — 61.1%

XPDUSD — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 2,728 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 850 times — 31.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,878 times — 68.8%

XPDUSD — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 1,928 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,928 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of XPDUSD?

Historically, when XPDUSD was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 64.3% of the time and down to a lower zone 35.7% of the time (across 4,374 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -24.96%, 4.08 points from the upper bound and 35.04 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 55,269 candles from 2017-05-01 to 2026-10-09, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing XPDUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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XPDUSD 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends | 2AiTrading