Analysis

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Price and energy
CHFJPY from 189.2555 to 188.4925, down 0.40%
Market Energy Bear Critical -71.3% to Bear Extreme -96.6%, down 25.3 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.02%0.18%0.26%0.40%
Energy5.015.992.325.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.02% 0.18% 0.26% 0.40% 5.0 15.9 92.3 25.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.40% — higher than 91% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 25.3 pts — higher than 76% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme CHFJPY 4H

Sample: 214 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 6 times

When CHFJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then CHFJPY moved to higher Market State: 6 times100%
  • then CHFJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current CHFJPY market energy: -96.63%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 22.13%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 3.37%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

CHFJPY · H4 · 2026-09-11 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-71.3%
Bear Critical
-96.6%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
00:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, CHFJPY classified as the Bear Extreme zone.

End-of-session energy readings on 4H, Market Energy moved from -71.3% to -96.6%, down -25.3% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, CHFJPY Market Energy ranged from -96.6 to +36.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did CHFJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, CHFJPY was at 188.4925, down 0.4% from the previous candle (189.2555). Market Energy was -96.6%, down 25.3 points from -71.3%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did CHFJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

CHFJPY closed at 188.4925, down 0.4% from the previous 4H candle (189.2555). This drop is larger than 91% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for CHFJPY, across 217 candles since 2019.

How did CHFJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 25.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -71.3% to -96.6%. This drop is larger than 76% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for CHFJPY.

Do CHFJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was CHFJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had CHFJPY at -71.3%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, CHFJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does CHFJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -96.6%, CHFJPY is 22.13 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 3.37 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 91.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 95.1%. Against this backdrop, CHFJPY (Bear Extreme, -96.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 66.4%. CHFJPY (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for CHFJPY.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for CHFJPY on the CHFJPY overview →

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