Analysis

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Price and energy
XAGUSD from 63.568 to 64.103, up 0.84%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -92.3% to Bear Extreme -81.4%, up 11.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.45%1.11%0.00%0.84%
Energy4.00.65.111.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.45% 1.11% 0.00% 0.84% 4.0 0.6 5.1 11.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.84% — higher than 80% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 11.0 pts — higher than 53% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme XAGUSD 4H

Sample: 21,065 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 639 times

When XAGUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then XAGUSD moved to higher Market State: 639 times100%
  • then XAGUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current XAGUSD market energy: -81.35%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 6.85%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 18.65%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

XAGUSD · H4 · 2026-09-11 05:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-92.3%
Bear Extreme
-81.4%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
20:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, Market Energy of XAGUSD indicates the Bear Extreme state.

Market movement after the 4H candle closes, Market Energy at -81.4%, up +11% from -92.3% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 5 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAGUSD Market Energy ranged from -98.1 to +76.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAGUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, XAGUSD was at 64.103, up 0.84% from the previous candle (63.568). Market Energy was -81.4%, up 11.0 points from -92.3%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did XAGUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAGUSD closed at 64.103, up 0.84% from the previous 4H candle (63.568). This rise is larger than 80% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for XAGUSD, across 11,838 candles since 2019.

How did XAGUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 11 percentage points from the previous candle — from -92.3% to -81.4%. This rise is larger than 53% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for XAGUSD.

Do XAGUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XAGUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAGUSD at -92.3%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAGUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -81.4%, XAGUSD is 6.85 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 18.65 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 87.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 89.5%. Against this backdrop, XAGUSD (Bear Extreme, -81.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -28.8%. XAGUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAGUSD.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAGUSD on the XAGUSD overview →

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