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Research

XAGUSD 4H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
21,214 XAGUSD 4H candles
Period
2013-01-02 – 2026-10-22 (13.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme726 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical1,005 times
↑31%
↓69%
Bull Bias1,693 times
↑39.3%
↓60.7%
Neutral1,807 times
↑51.5%
↓48.5%
Bear Bias1,636 times
↑63.5%
↓36.5%
Bear Critical913 times
↑71.4%
↓28.6%
Bear Extreme★★646 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Extreme→Sellers→

XAGUSD — Bear Extreme — 4H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 646 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 646 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -99.75%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 25.25 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 0.25 points

XAGUSD — Bear Critical — 4H

Occurrences: 913 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 652 times — 71.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 261 times — 28.6%

XAGUSD — Bear Bias — 4H

Occurrences: 1,636 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,039 times — 63.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 597 times — 36.5%

XAGUSD — Neutral — 4H

Occurrences: 1,807 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 930 times — 51.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 877 times — 48.5%

XAGUSD — Bull Bias — 4H

Occurrences: 1,693 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 666 times — 39.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,027 times — 60.7%

XAGUSD — Bull Critical — 4H

Occurrences: 1,005 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 312 times — 31%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 693 times — 69%

XAGUSD — Bull Extreme — 4H

Occurrences: 726 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 726 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of XAGUSD?

Historically, when XAGUSD was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 646 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -99.75%, 25.25 points from the upper bound and 0.25 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 21,214 candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing XAGUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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