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Research

XAGUSD D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
4,084 XAGUSD D candles
Period
2012-11-12 – 2026-10-21 (13.9 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W4H1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme174 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical239 times
↑38.5%
↓61.5%
Bull Bias353 times
↑41.1%
↓58.9%
Neutral389 times
↑53.2%
↓46.8%
Bear Bias★★345 times
↑57.7%
↓42.3%
Bear Critical209 times
↑71.3%
↓28.7%
Bear Extreme145 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Bias→Sellers→

XAGUSD — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 145 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 145 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

XAGUSD — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 209 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 149 times — 71.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 60 times — 28.7%

XAGUSD — Bear Bias — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 345 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 199 times — 57.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 146 times — 42.3%

Current market energy at -50.63%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 29.75 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 9.37 points

XAGUSD — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 389 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 207 times — 53.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 182 times — 46.8%

XAGUSD — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 353 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 145 times — 41.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 208 times — 58.9%

XAGUSD — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 239 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 92 times — 38.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 147 times — 61.5%

XAGUSD — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 174 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 174 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of XAGUSD?

Historically, when XAGUSD was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 57.7% of the time and down to a lower zone 42.3% of the time (across 345 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -50.63%, 29.75 points from the upper bound and 9.37 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 4,084 candles from 2012-11-12 to 2026-10-21, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing XAGUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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