Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 159.165 to 159.032, down 0.08%
Market Energy Bull Bias 22.3% to Neutral -10.4%, down 32.7 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.02%0.03%0.04%0.08%
Energy6.06.09.332.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.02% 0.03% 0.04% 0.08% 6.0 6.0 9.3 32.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.08% — higher than 46% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 32.7 pts — higher than 83% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,207 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-15
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,519 times

When USDJPY is in Neutral:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 838 times55.2%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 681 times44.8%

Current USDJPY market energy: -10.42%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 31.3%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 10.46%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-08-26 01:00 UTC
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Market Energy
22.3%
Bull Bias
-10.4%
Neutral
-19.0%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, USDJPY recorded in the neutral energy level between Bull and Bear.

At the 4H session close, Market Energy dropped -32.7% this candle, currently -10.4% (previous candle 22.3%).

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -47.1 to +55.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 26-08-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 159.032, down 0.08% from the previous candle (159.165). Market Energy was -10.4%, down 32.7 points from 22.3%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 159.032, down 0.08% from the previous 4H candle (159.165). This drop is larger than 46% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 11,912 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 32.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 22.3% to -10.4%. This drop is larger than 83% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 22.3%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -10.4%, USDJPY is 31.3 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 10.46 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -91.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -57.9%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Neutral, -10.4%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -32.9%. USDJPY energy is currently above DXY by 22.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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