Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 159.222 to 159.165, down 0.04%
Market Energy Bull Bias 31.6% to Bull Bias 22.3%, down 9.3 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.03%0.02%0.03%0.04%
Energy10.16.06.09.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.03% 0.02% 0.03% 0.04% 10.1 6.0 6.0 9.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.04% — higher than 22% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 9.3 pts — higher than 47% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,204 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,581 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 717 times45.4%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 864 times54.6%

Current USDJPY market energy: 22.28%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 37.72%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 1.4%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-08-25 21:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
31.6%
Bull Bias
22.3%
Bull Bias
-10.4%
Neutral
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The energy zone leaning Bull is the result just recorded for USDJPY after the 4H candle closed.

Market trend update: Market Energy dropped -9.3% this candle, currently 22.3% (previous candle 31.6%).

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 11 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -47.1 to +57.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 04:00 on 26-08-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 159.165, down 0.04% from the previous candle (159.222). Market Energy was 22.3%, down 9.3 points from 31.6%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 159.165, down 0.04% from the previous 4H candle (159.222). This drop is larger than 22% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 11,911 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 9.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 31.6% to 22.3%. This drop is larger than 47% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 31.6%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 22.3%, USDJPY is 37.72 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 1.4 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 20.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 30.1%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Bias, 22.3%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -50.3%. USDJPY (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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