Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 154.921 to 154.873, down 0.03%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 80.1% to Bull Critical 70.6%, down 9.6 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.06%0.05%0.07%0.03%
Energy2.41.65.79.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.06% 0.05% 0.07% 0.03% 2.4 1.6 5.7 9.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.03% — higher than 39% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 9.6 pts — higher than 54% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,831 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 3,621 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Critical:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 1,190 times32.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 2,431 times67.1%

Current USDJPY market energy: 70.56%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 3.94%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 10.56%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-09-15 07:00 UTC
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Market Energy
80.1%
Bull Extreme
70.6%
Bull Critical
Expected at
16:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded USDJPY in the Bull Critical state after the 1H candle closed.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, The energy level dropped -9.6%: from 80.1% now at 70.6%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -92.7 to +99.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 14:00 on 15-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 154.873, down 0.03% from the previous candle (154.921). Market Energy was 70.6%, down 9.6 points from 80.1%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 154.873, down 0.03% from the previous 1H candle (154.921). This drop is larger than 39% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 48,008 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 9.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 80.1% to 70.6%. This drop is larger than 54% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at 80.1%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 70.6%, USDJPY is 3.94 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 10.56 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -85.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -95.1%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Critical, 70.6%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -3.4%. USDJPY energy is currently above DXY by 74 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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