Analysis

USDJPY 156.8055 ↓0.14%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 1H 17:00 Oct 22, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 156.9145 · High 156.9355 · Low 156.787 · Close 156.8055 · Range (high − low) 0.1485
USDJPY closed at 156.8055, down 0.2185 (-0.14%) from 157.024.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Extreme zone at -81.4% to Bear Extreme at -97.7%, down 16.4 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price157.079157.241157.024156.806
Energy-99.5%-86.4%-81.4%-97.7%
Price change↓ 0.16%↑ 0.10%↓ 0.14%↓ 0.14%
Energy change↓ 2.7↑ 13.1↑ 5.0↓ 16.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.16%↑ 0.10%↓ 0.14%↓ 0.14%↓ 2.7↑ 13.1↑ 5.0↓ 16.4
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.14% — higher than 88% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 16.4 pts — higher than 71% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme USDJPY 1H

Sample: 73,482 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-10-21
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 2,181 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 2,181 times — 100%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: -97.72%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 23.22%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 2.28%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-10-22 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
-81.4%
Bear Extreme
-97.7%
Bear Extreme
-90.7%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

USDJPY classified into Bear in Extreme state after the 1H candle completed.

Observing the USDJPY market this session, Market Energy reading dropped -16.4%, moving from -81.4% to -97.7% after the 1H candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 8 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -99.7 to 95.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 17:00 on 22-10-2026, USDJPY was at 156.8055, down 0.14% from the previous candle (157.024). Market Energy was -97.7%, down 16.4 points from -81.4%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 156.8055, down 0.14% from the previous 1H candle (157.024). This drop is larger than 88% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 48,658 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 16.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -81.4% to -97.7%. This drop is larger than 71% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at -81.4%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -97.7%, USDJPY is 23.22 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 2.28 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -93.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -81.5%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Extreme, -97.7%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 19.3%. USDJPY energy is currently below DXY by 117 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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