Analysis

USDJPY 157.024 ↓0.44%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 4H 16:00 Oct 22, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 157.713 · High 157.736 · Low 156.826 · Close 157.024 · Range (high − low) 0.91
USDJPY closed at 157.024, down 0.6885 (-0.44%) from 157.7125.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Critical zone at -66.1% to Bear Extreme at -94.7%, down 28.7 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price158.146158.165157.713157.024
Energy-18.5%-17.2%-66.1%-94.7%
Price change↑ 0.04%↑ 0.01%↓ 0.29%↓ 0.44%
Energy change↑ 17.4↑ 1.3↓ 48.9↓ 28.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.04%↑ 0.01%↓ 0.29%↓ 0.44%↑ 17.4↑ 1.3↓ 48.9↓ 28.7
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.44% — higher than 94% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 28.7 pts — higher than 80% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,370 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 581 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 581 times — 100%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: -94.73%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 20.23%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 5.27%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-10-22 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
-66.1%
Bear Critical
-94.7%
Bear Extreme
-86.8%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded USDJPY in the Bear Extreme energy zone after the 4H candle closed.

On the measurement side, Market Energy at -94.7%, down -28.7% from -66.1% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -94.7 to 94.3.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 16:00 on 22-10-2026, USDJPY was at 157.024, down 0.44% from the previous candle (157.7125). Market Energy was -94.7%, down 28.7 points from -66.1%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 157.024, down 0.44% from the previous 4H candle (157.7125). This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 12,159 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 28.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -66.1% to -94.7%. This drop is larger than 80% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at -66.1%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -94.7%, USDJPY is 20.23 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 5.27 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -83.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -58.9%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Extreme, -94.7%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -82.2%. USDJPY (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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