Analysis

USDJPY 157.7125 ↓0.29%: Bears very strong · 4H 12:00 Oct 22, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 158.166 · High 158.178 · Low 157.596 · Close 157.7125 · Range (high − low) 0.582
USDJPY closed at 157.7125, down 0.4525 (-0.29%) from 158.165.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at -17.2% to Bear Critical at -66.1%, down 48.9 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price158.081158.146158.165157.713
Energy-35.9%-18.5%-17.2%-66.1%
Price change↑ 0.12%↑ 0.04%↑ 0.01%↓ 0.29%
Energy change↑ 17.7↑ 17.4↑ 1.3↓ 48.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.12%↑ 0.04%↑ 0.01%↓ 0.29%↑ 17.7↑ 17.4↑ 1.3↓ 48.9
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.29% — higher than 86% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 48.9 pts — higher than 90% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,368 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-21
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 826 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bear Critical:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 592 times — 71.7%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 234 times — 28.3%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: -66.06%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 6.06%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 8.44%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-10-22 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
-17.2%
Neutral
-66.1%
Bear Critical
-94.7%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, USDJPY in Bear in Critical state.

Market movement just recorded on the 4H timeframe, Market Energy dropped -48.9% from the previous session, from -17.2% to -66.1%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -66.1 to 94.3.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 12:00 on 22-10-2026, USDJPY was at 157.7125, down 0.29% from the previous candle (158.165). Market Energy was -66.1%, down 48.9 points from -17.2%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 157.7125, down 0.29% from the previous 4H candle (158.165). This drop is larger than 86% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 12,158 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 48.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -17.2% to -66.1%. This drop is larger than 90% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at -17.2%, Neutral — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Critical.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -66.1%, USDJPY is 6.06 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 8.44 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -70.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -36.3%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Critical, -66.1%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -11.4%. USDJPY energy is currently below DXY by 54.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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