Analysis

COCOA 5,781.45 ↓0.5%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 1H 18:00 Oct 22, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 5,809.95 · High 5,813.95 · Low 5,779.45 · Close 5,781.45 · Range (high − low) 34.5
COCOA closed at 5,781.45, down 29 (-0.50%) from 5,810.45.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Extreme zone at -77.4% to Bear Extreme at -97.8%, down 20.3 points.
Fourth straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price5,916.55,8365,810.55,781.5
Energy80.9%-53.8%-77.4%-97.8%
Price change↓ 0.26%↓ 1.36%↓ 0.44%↓ 0.50%
Energy change↓ 9.0↓ 134.6↓ 23.7↓ 20.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.26%↓ 1.36%↓ 0.44%↓ 0.50%↓ 9.0↓ 134.6↓ 23.7↓ 20.3
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.50% — higher than 66% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 20.3 pts — higher than 71% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme COCOA 1H

Sample: 19,981 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-21
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 870 times

▸When COCOA is in Bear Extreme:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 870 times — 100%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current COCOA market energy: -97.77%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 23.27%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 2.23%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · H1 · 2026-10-22 10:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COCOA chart →
Market Energy
-77.4%
Bear Extreme
-97.8%
Bear Extreme
-99.1%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 1H candle data, COCOA within Bear energy in an extreme reading.

Meanwhile, Market Energy at -97.8%, down -20.3% from -77.4% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from -97.8 to 99.9.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 18:00 on 22-10-2026, COCOA was at 5,781.45, down 0.5% from the previous candle (5,810.45). Market Energy was -97.8%, down 20.3 points from -77.4%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did COCOA price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 5,781.45, down 0.5% from the previous 1H candle (5,810.45). This drop is larger than 66% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COCOA, across 19,291 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 20.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -77.4% to -97.8%. This drop is larger than 71% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had COCOA at -77.4%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -97.8%, COCOA is 23.27 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 2.23 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -81%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -62.7%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bear Extreme, -97.8%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 80.7%. COCOA (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .