Research

COCOA 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
19,991 COCOA 1H candles
Period
2013-01-03 – 2026-10-22 (13.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD4H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

COCOA — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 871 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 871 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

COCOA — Bear Critical — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 1,009 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 665 times — 65.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 344 times — 34.1%

Current market energy at -60.32%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 0.32 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 14.18 points

COCOA — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 1,579 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 896 times — 56.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 683 times — 43.3%

COCOA — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 1,554 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 802 times — 51.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 752 times — 48.4%

COCOA — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 1,654 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 740 times — 44.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 914 times — 55.3%

COCOA — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 1,109 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 394 times — 35.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 715 times — 64.5%

COCOA — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 939 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 939 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of COCOA?

Historically, when COCOA was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 65.9% of the time and down to a lower zone 34.1% of the time (across 1,009 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -60.32%, 0.32 points from the upper bound and 14.18 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 19,991 candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing COCOA's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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