Research

COCOA D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
2,650 COCOA D candles
Period
2013-01-03 – 2026-10-21 (13.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W4H1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

COCOA — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 129 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 129 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

COCOA — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 138 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 97 times — 70.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 41 times — 29.7%

COCOA — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 218 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 121 times — 55.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 97 times — 44.5%

COCOA — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 226 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 117 times — 51.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 109 times — 48.2%

COCOA — Bull Bias — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 233 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 111 times — 47.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 122 times — 52.4%

Current market energy at 21.34%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 38.66 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 0.46 points

COCOA — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 157 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 50 times — 31.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 107 times — 68.2%

COCOA — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 141 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 141 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of COCOA?

Historically, when COCOA was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 47.6% of the time and down to a lower zone 52.4% of the time (across 233 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 21.34%, 38.66 points from the upper bound and 0.46 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 2,650 candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-21, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing COCOA's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .