Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 153.4825 to 153.4165, down 0.04%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -79.8% to Bear Extreme -92.7%, down 12.9 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.07%0.03%0.36%0.04%
Energy14.710.122.712.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.07% 0.03% 0.36% 0.04% 14.7 10.1 22.7 12.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.04% — higher than 50% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 12.9 pts — higher than 64% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,801 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 2,155 times

When USDJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 2,155 times100%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current USDJPY market energy: -92.74%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 18.24%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 7.26%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-09-11 13:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-79.8%
Bear Extreme
-92.7%
Bear Extreme
-83.6%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle closes, USDJPY classified as the Bear Extreme level.

On trend energy, Market Energy at -92.7%, down -12.9% from -79.8% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -100 to +97.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 20:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 153.4165, down 0.04% from the previous candle (153.4825). Market Energy was -92.7%, down 12.9 points from -79.8%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 153.4165, down 0.04% from the previous 1H candle (153.4825). This drop is larger than 50% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 47,966 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 12.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -79.8% to -92.7%. This drop is larger than 64% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at -79.8%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -92.7%, USDJPY is 18.24 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 7.26 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 99.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 91%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Extreme, -92.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -96.8%. USDJPY (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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