Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 154.031 to 153.4825, down 0.36%
Market Energy Bear Bias -57.1% to Bear Extreme -79.8%, down 22.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.01%0.07%0.03%0.36%
Energy10.114.710.122.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.01% 0.07% 0.03% 0.36% 10.1 14.7 10.1 22.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.36% — higher than 98% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 22.7 pts — higher than 79% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,801 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 2,155 times

When USDJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 2,155 times100%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current USDJPY market energy: -79.82%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 5.32%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 20.18%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-09-11 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-57.1%
Bear Bias
-79.8%
Bear Extreme
-92.7%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

USDJPY classified into Bear energy at peak level after the 1H candle completed.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy reading dropped -22.7%, moving from -57.1% to -79.8% after the 1H candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -100 to +97.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 19:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 153.4825, down 0.36% from the previous candle (154.031). Market Energy was -79.8%, down 22.7 points from -57.1%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 153.4825, down 0.36% from the previous 1H candle (154.031). This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 47,965 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 22.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -57.1% to -79.8%. This drop is larger than 79% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at -57.1%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -79.8%, USDJPY is 5.32 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 20.18 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 91.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 78.6%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Extreme, -79.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -55.9%. USDJPY (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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