Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 160.091 to 156.259, down 2.39%
Market Energy Bear Bias -28.8% to Bear Critical -61.0%, down 32.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.83%0.16%0.70%2.39%
Energy15.48.324.032.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.83% 0.16% 0.70% 2.39% 15.4 8.3 24.0 32.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.39% — higher than 90% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 32.2 pts — higher than 82% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical USDJPY Weekly

Sample: 609 Weekly candles from 2015-01-05 to 2026-08-31
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 35 times

When USDJPY is in Bear Critical:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 20 times57.1%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 15 times42.9%

Current USDJPY market energy: -61.02%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 1.02%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 13.48%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · W1 · 2026-08-31 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-28.8%
Bear Bias
-61.0%
Bear Critical
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

USDJPY classified into Bear energy near extreme after the Weekly candle completed.

End-of-session update for Weekly, Market trend energy recorded a -32.2% drop from the previous candle, from -28.8% to -61%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 31-08-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 156.259, down 2.39% from the previous candle (160.091). Market Energy was -61%, down 32.2 points from -28.8%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 156.259, down 2.39% from the previous Weekly candle (160.091). This drop is larger than 90% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for USDJPY, across 400 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 32.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -28.8% to -61%. This drop is larger than 82% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had USDJPY at -28.8%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -61%, USDJPY is 1.02 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 13.48 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -78%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -61.5%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Critical, -61%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 68.8%. USDJPY (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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