Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 154.286 to 154.394, up 0.07%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -76.5% to Bear Critical -72.4%, up 4.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.16%0.04%0.16%0.07%
Energy3.93.74.14.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.16% 0.04% 0.16% 0.07% 3.9 3.7 4.1 4.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.07% — higher than 67% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 4.2 pts — higher than 29% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,805 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 3,067 times

When USDJPY is in Bear Critical:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 2,204 times71.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 863 times28.1%

Current USDJPY market energy: -72.37%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 12.37%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 2.13%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-09-07 15:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-76.5%
Bear Extreme
-72.4%
Bear Critical
-71.4%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 1H candle data, Market USDJPY in the near-extreme Bear energy state.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market Energy rose +4.2% from the previous session, from -76.5% to -72.4%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -97.1 to +75.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 22:00 on 07-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 154.394, up 0.07% from the previous candle (154.286). Market Energy was -72.4%, up 4.2 points from -76.5%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 154.394, up 0.07% from the previous 1H candle (154.286). This rise is larger than 67% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 47,872 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 4.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -76.5% to -72.4%. This rise is larger than 29% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at -76.5%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -72.4%, USDJPY is 12.37 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 2.13 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -70.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 20.4%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Critical, -72.4%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -66.7%. USDJPY (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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