Analysis

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Price and energy
COCOA from 5,941.45 to 5,951.85, up 0.17%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -76.2% to Bear Critical -73.4%, up 2.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price2.12%0.14%0.36%0.17%
Energy47.324.21.02.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
2.12% 0.14% 0.36% 0.17% 47.3 24.2 1.0 2.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.17% — higher than 31% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 2.7 pts — higher than 18% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical COCOA 1H

Sample: 19,691 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 990 times

When COCOA is in Bear Critical:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 656 times66.3%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 334 times33.7%

Current COCOA market energy: -73.44%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 13.44%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 1.06%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · H1 · 2026-09-11 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-76.2%
Bear Extreme
-73.4%
Bear Critical
Expected at
02:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 1H candle data, COCOA classified as the Bear Critical state.

On trend energy, Energy delta +2.7%: Market Energy at -73.4%, previously -76.2%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from -93.8 to +79.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 00:00 on 12-09-2026 closed, COCOA was at 5,951.85, up 0.18% from the previous candle (5,941.45). Market Energy was -73.4%, up 2.7 points from -76.2%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did COCOA price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 5,951.85, up 0.18% from the previous 1H candle (5,941.45). This rise is larger than 31% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for COCOA, across 19,008 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 2.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -76.2% to -73.4%. This rise is larger than 18% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had COCOA at -76.2%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, COCOA moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -73.4%, COCOA is 13.44 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 1.06 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 80.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 61%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bear Critical, -73.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -62.2%. COCOA (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

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