Analysis

·

Price and energy
USDJPY from 154.535 to 154.286, down 0.16%
Market Energy Bear Critical -72.4% to Bear Extreme -76.5%, down 4.1 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.05%0.16%0.04%0.16%
Energy4.53.93.74.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.05% 0.16% 0.04% 0.16% 4.5 3.9 3.7 4.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.16% — higher than 90% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 4.1 pts — higher than 31% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,801 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 2,155 times

When USDJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 2,155 times100%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current USDJPY market energy: -76.53%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 2.03%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 23.47%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-09-07 14:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
-72.4%
Bear Critical
-76.5%
Bear Extreme
-72.4%
Bear Critical
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle completes, Market USDJPY in Bear Extreme.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy dropped -4.1% from the previous candle, from -72.4% to -76.5%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -97.1 to +75.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 21:00 on 07-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 154.286, down 0.16% from the previous candle (154.535). Market Energy was -76.5%, down 4.1 points from -72.4%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 154.286, down 0.16% from the previous 1H candle (154.535). This drop is larger than 90% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 47,871 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 4.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -72.4% to -76.5%. This drop is larger than 31% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at -72.4%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -76.5%, USDJPY is 2.03 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 23.47 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -68.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 23.8%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Extreme, -76.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -75.7%. USDJPY (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .