Analysis

NEARUSD 5.028 ↑0.24%: Bulls have the edge · 4H 11:00 Oct 19, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 5.017 · High 5.095 · Low 4.974 · Close 5.028 · Range (high − low) 0.121
NEARUSD closed at 5.028, up 0.012 (+0.24%) from 5.016.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at -6.4% to Bull Bias at 54.3%, up 60.6 points.
Second straight up candle, price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price4.7394.6475.0165.028
Energy-66.5%-87.7%-6.4%54.3%
Price change↓ 3.85%↓ 1.94%↑ 7.94%↑ 0.24%
Energy change↓ 52.5↓ 21.2↑ 81.3↑ 60.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 3.85%↓ 1.94%↑ 7.94%↑ 0.24%↓ 52.5↓ 21.2↑ 81.3↑ 60.6
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.24% — higher than 11% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 60.6 pts — higher than 96% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 13,174 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-10-18
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,009 times

▸When NEARUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 352 times — 34.9%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 657 times — 65.1%

▸Current NEARUSD market energy: 54.25%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 5.75%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 33.37%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2026-10-19 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NEARUSD chart →
Market Energy
-6.4%
Neutral
54.3%
Bull Bias
50.7%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded NEARUSD in the Bull Bias level after the 4H candle closed.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy reading rose +60.6%, moving from -6.4% to 54.3% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -88.2 to 99.7.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 11:00 on 19-10-2026, NEARUSD was at 5.028, up 0.24% from the previous candle (5.016). Market Energy was 54.3%, up 60.6 points from -6.4%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 5.028, up 0.24% from the previous 4H candle (5.016). This rise is larger than 11% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 13,174 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 60.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -6.4% to 54.3%. This rise is larger than 96% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at -6.4%, Neutral — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved up to a higher zone: Neutral → Bull Bias.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 54.3%, NEARUSD is 5.75 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 33.37 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 36.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 33.6%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bull Bias, 54.3%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 29.5%. NEARUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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