Analysis

NEARUSD 5.016 ↑7.94%: Bulls & Bears in a tug-of-war · 4H 07:00 Oct 19, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 4.647 · High 5.032 · Low 4.621 · Close 5.016 · Range (high − low) 0.411
NEARUSD closed at 5.016, up 0.369 (+7.94%) from 4.647.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Extreme zone at -87.7% to Neutral at -6.4%, up 81.3 points.
Price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price4.9294.7394.6475.016
Energy-14.0%-66.5%-87.7%-6.4%
Price change↓ 0.75%↓ 3.85%↓ 1.94%↑ 7.94%
Energy change↓ 8.7↓ 52.5↓ 21.2↑ 81.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.75%↓ 3.85%↓ 1.94%↑ 7.94%↓ 8.7↓ 52.5↓ 21.2↑ 81.3
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 7.94% — higher than 98% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 81.3 pts — higher than 99% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 13,172 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-10-18
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,191 times

▸When NEARUSD is in Neutral:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 597 times — 50.1%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 594 times — 49.9%

▸Current NEARUSD market energy: -6.36%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 27.24%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 14.52%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2026-10-18 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NEARUSD chart →
Market Energy
-87.7%
Bear Extreme
-6.4%
Neutral
54.3%
Bull Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, NEARUSD in Neutral of Market Energy.

On the energy side, Market Energy at -6.4%, up +81.3% from -87.7% in the previous candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -88.2 to 99.7.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 07:00 on 19-10-2026, NEARUSD was at 5.016, up 7.94% from the previous candle (4.647). Market Energy was -6.4%, up 81.3 points from -87.7%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 5.016, up 7.94% from the previous 4H candle (4.647). This rise is larger than 98% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 13,173 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 81.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -87.7% to -6.4%. This rise is larger than 99% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at -87.7%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Neutral.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -6.4%, NEARUSD is 27.24 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 14.52 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -93.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -74.2%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Neutral, -6.4%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 38.5%. NEARUSD energy is currently below DXY by 44.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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