Analysis

NEARUSD 5.016 ↓14.93%: Bulls in the peak-force zone · W Oct 12, 2026

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Candle open
Price and energy
Open 5.896 · High 6 · Low 4.527 · Close 5.016 · Range (high − low) 1.473
NEARUSD closed at 5.016, down 0.88 (-14.93%) from 5.896.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Extreme zone at 92.9% to Bull Extreme at 82.9%, down 10.1 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price5.3874.9175.8965.016
Energy100.0%96.3%92.9%82.9%
Price change↑ 29.28%↓ 8.72%↑ 19.91%↓ 14.93%
Energy change↑ 5.5↓ 3.7↓ 3.3↓ 10.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 29.28%↓ 8.72%↑ 19.91%↓ 14.93%↑ 5.5↓ 3.7↓ 3.3↓ 10.1
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 14.93% — higher than 77% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.1 pts — higher than 50% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme NEARUSD Weekly

Sample: 312 Weekly candles from 2020-10-19 to 2026-10-05
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 12 times

▸When NEARUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times — 0%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 12 times — 100%

▸Current NEARUSD market energy: 82.89%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 17.11%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 8.39%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · W1 · 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NEARUSD chart →
Market Energy
92.9%
Bull Extreme
82.9%
Bull Extreme
Expected at
07:10
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the Weekly candle closes, NEARUSD within Bull trend energy in an unusual reading.

On trend energy, Market trend energy recorded a -10.1% drop from the previous candle, from 92.9% to 82.9%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 5 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle closed at 07:00 on 12-10-2026, NEARUSD was at 5.016, down 14.93% from the previous candle (5.896). Market Energy was 82.9%, down 10.1 points from 92.9%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 5.016, down 14.93% from the previous Weekly candle (5.896). This drop is larger than 77% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for NEARUSD, across 312 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 92.9% to 82.9%. This drop is larger than 50% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had NEARUSD at 92.9%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 82.9%, NEARUSD is 17.11 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 8.39 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 79.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 68.1%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bull Extreme, 82.9%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -97.1%. NEARUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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