Research

NEARUSD 4H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
13,197 NEARUSD 4H candles
Period
2020-10-14 – 2026-10-22 (6.0 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

NEARUSD — Bear Extreme — 4H

Occurrences: 295 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 295 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

NEARUSD — Bear Critical — 4H

Occurrences: 523 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 388 times — 74.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 135 times — 25.8%

NEARUSD — Bear Bias — 4H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 1,015 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 677 times — 66.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 338 times — 33.3%

Current market energy at -48.71%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 27.83 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 11.29 points

NEARUSD — Neutral — 4H

Occurrences: 1,195 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 599 times — 50.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 596 times — 49.9%

NEARUSD — Bull Bias — 4H

Occurrences: 1,012 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 353 times — 34.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 659 times — 65.1%

NEARUSD — Bull Critical — 4H

Occurrences: 554 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 130 times — 23.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 424 times — 76.5%

NEARUSD — Bull Extreme — 4H

Occurrences: 345 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 345 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of NEARUSD?

Historically, when NEARUSD was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 66.7% of the time and down to a lower zone 33.3% of the time (across 1,015 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -48.71%, 27.83 points from the upper bound and 11.29 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 13,197 candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing NEARUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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