Analysis

NEARUSD 5.069 ↑0.82%: Bulls have the edge · 4H 15:00 Oct 19, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 5.029 · High 5.141 · Low 5.013 · Close 5.069 · Range (high − low) 0.128
NEARUSD closed at 5.069, up 0.041 (+0.82%) from 5.028.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 54.3% to Bull Bias at 50.7%, down 3.5 points.
Third straight up candle, energy diverges from price.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price4.6475.0165.0285.069
Energy-87.7%-6.4%54.3%50.7%
Price change↓ 1.94%↑ 7.94%↑ 0.24%↑ 0.82%
Energy change↓ 21.2↑ 81.3↑ 60.6↓ 3.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 1.94%↑ 7.94%↑ 0.24%↑ 0.82%↓ 21.2↑ 81.3↑ 60.6↓ 3.5
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.82% — higher than 36% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.5 pts — higher than 22% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 13,174 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-10-18
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,009 times

▸When NEARUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 352 times — 34.9%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 657 times — 65.1%

▸Current NEARUSD market energy: 50.74%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 9.26%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 29.86%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2026-10-19 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NEARUSD chart →
Market Energy
54.3%
Bull Bias
50.7%
Bull Bias
24.4%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, Result for NEARUSD: the energy zone leaning Bull.

Observing the NEARUSD market this session, Market Energy moved from 54.3% to 50.7%, down -3.5% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -88.2 to 99.7.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 15:00 on 19-10-2026, NEARUSD was at 5.069, up 0.82% from the previous candle (5.028). Market Energy was 50.7%, down 3.5 points from 54.3%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 5.069, up 0.82% from the previous 4H candle (5.028). This rise is larger than 36% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 13,175 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 54.3% to 50.7%. This drop is larger than 22% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

No. Price moved up while energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at 54.3%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 50.7%, NEARUSD is 9.26 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 29.86 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 93.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 41.9%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bull Bias, 50.7%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 20.1%. NEARUSD energy is currently above DXY by 30.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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