Analysis

ADAUSD 0.2536 ↓0.16%: Bulls very strong · 4H 03:00 Oct 12, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.2541 · High 0.2565 · Low 0.2509 · Close 0.2536 · Range (high − low) 0.0056
ADAUSD closed at 0.2536, down 0.0004 (-0.16%) from 0.254.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Critical zone at 67.1% to Bull Critical at 71.0%, up 3.9 points.
Energy diverges from price.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.24770.24710.2540.2536
Energy-49.1%-39.5%67.1%71.0%
Price change↑ 0.65%↓ 0.24%↑ 2.79%↓ 0.16%
Energy change↑ 8.3↑ 9.6↑ 106.6↑ 3.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.65%↓ 0.24%↑ 2.79%↓ 0.16%↑ 8.3↑ 9.6↑ 106.6↑ 3.9
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.16% — higher than 9% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 3.9 pts — higher than 26% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical ADAUSD 4H

Sample: 18,678 4H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-10-26
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 528 times

▸When ADAUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 137 times — 25.9%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 391 times — 74.1%

▸Current ADAUSD market energy: 70.96%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 3.54%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 10.96%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H4 · 2026-10-11 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live ADAUSD chart →
Market Energy
67.1%
Bull Critical
71.0%
Bull Critical
59.7%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, ADAUSD reflects the Bull Critical state.

Market energy movement Market Energy reading rose +3.9%, moving from 67.1% to 71% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -98.3 to 86.7.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 03:00 on 11-10-2026, ADAUSD was at 0.2536, down 0.16% from the previous candle (0.254). Market Energy was 71%, up 3.9 points from 67.1%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2536, down 0.16% from the previous 4H candle (0.254). This drop is larger than 9% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 17,040 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 3.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 67.1% to 71%. This rise is larger than 26% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

No. Price moved down while energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ADAUSD at 67.1%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 71%, ADAUSD is 3.54 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 10.96 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 67.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 70%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bull Critical, 71%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -5%. ADAUSD energy is currently above DXY by 75.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .