Analysis

ADAUSD 0.2042 ↓1.92%: Bears very strong · D Oct 25, 2026

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Candle open
Price and energy
Open 0.2081 · High 0.2095 · Low 0.202 · Close 0.2042 · Range (high − low) 0.0075
ADAUSD closed at 0.2042, down 0.004 (-1.92%) from 0.2082.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Critical zone at -60.7% to Bear Critical at -63.0%, down 2.2 points.
Fourth straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.21230.21090.20820.2042
Energy-57.3%-67.9%-60.7%-63.0%
Price change↓ 5.73%↓ 0.66%↓ 1.28%↓ 1.92%
Energy change↓ 44.9↓ 10.6↑ 7.2↓ 2.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 5.73%↓ 0.66%↓ 1.28%↓ 1.92%↓ 44.9↓ 10.6↑ 7.2↓ 2.2
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.92% — higher than 41% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 2.2 pts — higher than 15% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical ADAUSD Daily

Sample: 3,112 Daily candles from 2018-04-18 to 2026-10-24
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 78 times

▸When ADAUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 64 times — 82.1%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 14 times — 17.9%

▸Current ADAUSD market energy: -62.96%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 2.96%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 11.54%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · D1 · 2026-10-25 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live ADAUSD chart →
Market Energy
-60.7%
Bear Critical
-63.0%
Bear Critical
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Bear Critical reading determined for ADAUSD through the Daily candle data.

The ADAUSD market at session end, Market Energy at -63%, down -2.2% from -60.7% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 3 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -67.9 to -12.5.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle closed at 07:00 on 25-10-2026, ADAUSD was at 0.2042, down 1.92% from the previous candle (0.2082). Market Energy was -63%, down 2.2 points from -60.7%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2042, down 1.92% from the previous Daily candle (0.2082). This drop is larger than 41% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for ADAUSD, across 2,855 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 2.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -60.7% to -63%. This drop is larger than 15% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had ADAUSD at -60.7%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -63%, ADAUSD is 2.96 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 11.54 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 19.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 12.3%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bear Critical, -63%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 12.1%. ADAUSD energy is currently below DXY by 75.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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