Analysis

ADAUSD 0.2042 ↓0.83%: Bulls & Bears in a tug-of-war · 4H 07:00 Oct 26, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.2059 · High 0.2064 · Low 0.202 · Close 0.2042 · Range (high − low) 0.0044
ADAUSD closed at 0.2042, down 0.0017 (-0.83%) from 0.2059.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at -14.8% to Neutral at -20.6%, down 5.8 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.2050.20570.20590.2042
Energy-33.0%-24.3%-14.8%-20.6%
Price change↓ 0.39%↑ 0.34%↑ 0.10%↓ 0.83%
Energy change↓ 0.7↑ 8.7↑ 9.5↓ 5.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.39%↑ 0.34%↑ 0.10%↓ 0.83%↓ 0.7↑ 8.7↑ 9.5↓ 5.8
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.83% — higher than 47% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 5.8 pts — higher than 37% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral ADAUSD 4H

Sample: 18,668 4H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-10-25
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,834 times

▸When ADAUSD is in Neutral:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 886 times — 48.3%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 948 times — 51.7%

▸Current ADAUSD market energy: -20.57%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 41.45%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 0.31%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H4 · 2026-10-25 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live ADAUSD chart →
Market Energy
-14.8%
Neutral
-20.6%
Neutral
-53.6%
Bear Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, ADAUSD recorded in the balanced Bull/Bear state.

Market energy movement Market Energy dropped -5.8% from the previous candle, from -14.8% to -20.6%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -89.3 to 78.6.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 07:00 on 26-10-2026, ADAUSD was at 0.2042, down 0.83% from the previous candle (0.2059). Market Energy was -20.6%, down 5.8 points from -14.8%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2042, down 0.83% from the previous 4H candle (0.2059). This drop is larger than 47% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 17,125 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 5.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -14.8% to -20.6%. This drop is larger than 37% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ADAUSD at -14.8%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -20.6%, ADAUSD is 41.45 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 0.31 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 19.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 12.3%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Neutral, -20.6%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 12.1%. ADAUSD energy is currently below DXY by 32.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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