Analysis

NEARUSD 4.459 ↓2.98%: Bears have the edge · 4H 11:00 Oct 26, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 4.595 · High 4.62 · Low 4.431 · Close 4.459 · Range (high − low) 0.189
NEARUSD closed at 4.459, down 0.137 (-2.98%) from 4.596.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 24.3% to Bear Bias at -21.8%, down 46.1 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price4.5464.5754.5964.459
Energy18.3%24.8%24.3%-21.8%
Price change↑ 1.41%↑ 0.64%↑ 0.46%↓ 2.98%
Energy change↑ 41.3↑ 6.4↓ 0.5↓ 46.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 1.41%↑ 0.64%↑ 0.46%↓ 2.98%↑ 41.3↑ 6.4↓ 0.5↓ 46.1
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.98% — higher than 83% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 46.1 pts — higher than 94% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias NEARUSD 4H

Sample: 13,216 4H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-10-25
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,017 times

▸When NEARUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 678 times — 66.7%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 339 times — 33.3%

▸Current NEARUSD market energy: -21.81%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 0.93%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 38.19%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H4 · 2026-10-26 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NEARUSD chart →
Market Energy
24.3%
Bull Bias
-21.8%
Bear Bias
Expected at
15:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

NEARUSD classified into the Bear Bias zone after the 4H candle completed.

Observing the NEARUSD market this session, Market Energy reading dropped -46.1%, moving from 24.3% to -21.8% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -78.7 to 79.3.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 11:00 on 26-10-2026, NEARUSD was at 4.459, down 2.98% from the previous candle (4.596). Market Energy was -21.8%, down 46.1 points from 24.3%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 4.459, down 2.98% from the previous 4H candle (4.596). This drop is larger than 83% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 13,216 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 46.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 24.3% to -21.8%. This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NEARUSD at 24.3%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -21.8%, NEARUSD is 0.93 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 38.19 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -66.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -23.7%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bear Bias, -21.8%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -79.3%. NEARUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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