Analysis

NEARUSD 4.596 ↓8.37%: Bulls very strong · W Oct 19, 2026

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Candle open
Price and energy
Open 5.017 · High 5.451 · Low 4.25 · Close 4.596 · Range (high − low) 1.201
NEARUSD closed at 4.596, down 0.42 (-8.37%) from 5.016.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Extreme zone at 82.9% to Bull Critical at 68.7%, down 14.2 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price4.9175.8965.0164.596
Energy96.3%92.9%82.9%68.7%
Price change↓ 8.72%↑ 19.91%↓ 14.93%↓ 8.37%
Energy change↓ 3.7↓ 3.3↓ 10.1↓ 14.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 8.72%↑ 19.91%↓ 14.93%↓ 8.37%↓ 3.7↓ 3.3↓ 10.1↓ 14.2
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 8.37% — higher than 51% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 14.2 pts — higher than 63% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical NEARUSD Weekly

Sample: 314 Weekly candles from 2020-10-19 to 2026-10-19
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 18 times

▸When NEARUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 6 times — 33.3%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 12 times — 66.7%

▸Current NEARUSD market energy: 68.68%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 5.82%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 8.68%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · W1 · 2026-10-19 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NEARUSD chart →
Market Energy
82.9%
Bull Extreme
68.7%
Bull Critical
Expected at
07:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

NEARUSD classified into Bull Critical after the Weekly candle completed.

The energy side shows Market Energy dropped -14.2% from the previous candle, from 82.9% to 68.7%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle closed at 07:00 on 19-10-2026, NEARUSD was at 4.596, down 8.37% from the previous candle (5.016). Market Energy was 68.7%, down 14.2 points from 82.9%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 4.596, down 8.37% from the previous Weekly candle (5.016). This drop is larger than 51% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for NEARUSD, across 313 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 14.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 82.9% to 68.7%. This drop is larger than 63% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had NEARUSD at 82.9%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 68.7%, NEARUSD is 5.82 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 8.68 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 36.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 33.6%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bull Critical, 68.7%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 29.5%. NEARUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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