Analysis

ADAUSD 0.2523 ↓0.51%: Bulls have the edge · 4H 07:00 Oct 12, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.2535 · High 0.254 · Low 0.25 · Close 0.2523 · Range (high − low) 0.004
ADAUSD closed at 0.2523, down 0.0013 (-0.51%) from 0.2536.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Critical zone at 71.0% to Bull Bias at 59.7%, down 11.3 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.24710.2540.25360.2523
Energy-39.5%67.1%71.0%59.7%
Price change↓ 0.24%↑ 2.79%↓ 0.16%↓ 0.51%
Energy change↑ 9.6↑ 106.6↑ 3.9↓ 11.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.24%↑ 2.79%↓ 0.16%↓ 0.51%↑ 9.6↑ 106.6↑ 3.9↓ 11.3
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.51% — higher than 31% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.3 pts — higher than 61% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias ADAUSD 4H

Sample: 18,650 4H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,320 times

▸When ADAUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 385 times — 29.2%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 935 times — 70.8%

▸Current ADAUSD market energy: 59.68%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 0.32%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 38.8%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H4 · 2026-10-11 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live ADAUSD chart →
Market Energy
71.0%
Bull Critical
59.7%
Bull Bias
49.3%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, ADAUSD classified as energy leaning Bull.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy moved from 71% to 59.7%, down -11.3% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -98.3 to 86.7.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 07:00 on 12-10-2026, ADAUSD was at 0.2523, down 0.51% from the previous candle (0.2536). Market Energy was 59.7%, down 11.3 points from 71%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2523, down 0.51% from the previous 4H candle (0.2536). This drop is larger than 31% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 17,041 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 71% to 59.7%. This drop is larger than 61% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ADAUSD at 71%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, ADAUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 59.7%, ADAUSD is 0.32 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 38.8 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 67.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 70%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bull Bias, 59.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -5%. ADAUSD energy is currently above DXY by 64.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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