Analysis

ADAUSD 0.2123 ↓5.73%: Bears have the edge · D Oct 22, 2026

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Candle open
Price and energy
Open 0.2253 · High 0.2269 · Low 0.2096 · Close 0.2123 · Range (high − low) 0.0173
ADAUSD closed at 0.2123, down 0.0129 (-5.73%) from 0.2252.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at -12.5% to Bear Bias at -57.3%, down 44.9 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.21810.2240.22520.2123
Energy-42.3%-26.4%-12.5%-57.3%
Price change↓ 1.40%↑ 2.71%↑ 0.54%↓ 5.73%
Energy change↑ 2.0↑ 15.9↑ 13.9↓ 44.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 1.40%↑ 2.71%↑ 0.54%↓ 5.73%↑ 2.0↑ 15.9↑ 13.9↓ 44.9
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 5.73% — higher than 84% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 44.9 pts — higher than 97% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias ADAUSD Daily

Sample: 3,109 Daily candles from 2018-04-18 to 2026-10-21
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 224 times

▸When ADAUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 158 times — 70.5%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 66 times — 29.5%

▸Current ADAUSD market energy: -57.34%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 36.46%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 2.66%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · D1 · 2026-10-22 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live ADAUSD chart →
Market Energy
-12.5%
Neutral
-57.3%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the Daily candle closes, ADAUSD in the Bear Bias state.

On the measurement side, Market Energy dropped -44.9% from the previous session, from -12.5% to -57.3%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -57.3 to -12.5.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle closed at 07:00 on 22-10-2026, ADAUSD was at 0.2123, down 5.73% from the previous candle (0.2252). Market Energy was -57.3%, down 44.9 points from -12.5%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2123, down 5.73% from the previous Daily candle (0.2252). This drop is larger than 84% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for ADAUSD, across 2,852 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 44.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -12.5% to -57.3%. This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had ADAUSD at -12.5%, Neutral — when this candle closed, ADAUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -57.3%, ADAUSD is 36.46 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 2.66 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -79.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -28%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bear Bias, -57.3%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -21%. ADAUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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