Analysis

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Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.2083 to 0.2062, down 1.01%
Market Energy Bear Bias -27.4% to Bear Bias -24.7%, up 2.6 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.00%2.60%2.92%1.01%
Energy6.730.446.02.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.00% 2.60% 2.92% 1.01% 6.7 30.4 46.0 2.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.01% — higher than 54% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 2.6 pts — higher than 18% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias ADAUSD 4H

Sample: 18,403 4H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,352 times

When ADAUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 972 times71.9%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 380 times28.1%

Current ADAUSD market energy: -24.72%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 3.84%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 35.28%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H4 · 2026-09-11 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-27.4%
Bear Bias
-24.7%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, ADAUSD shows energy leaning Bear.

Observing the ADAUSD market this session, Market Energy rose +2.6% from the previous session, from -27.4% to -24.7%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -73.3 to +75.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.2062, down 1.01% from the previous candle (0.2083). Market Energy was -24.7%, up 2.6 points from -27.4%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2062, down 1.01% from the previous 4H candle (0.2083). This drop is larger than 54% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 16,860 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 2.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -27.4% to -24.7%. This rise is larger than 18% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ADAUSD at -27.4%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -24.7%, ADAUSD is 3.84 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 35.28 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 82.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 60.6%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bear Bias, -24.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -67.5%. ADAUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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