Analysis

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Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.2097 to 0.2092, down 0.24%
Market Energy Bear Bias -41.8% to Bear Bias -38.6%, up 3.2 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.14%0.47%1.32%0.24%
Energy5.51.310.73.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.14% 0.47% 1.32% 0.24% 5.5 1.3 10.7 3.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.24% — higher than 15% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 3.2 pts — higher than 22% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias ADAUSD 4H

Sample: 18,397 4H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,352 times

When ADAUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 972 times71.9%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 380 times28.1%

Current ADAUSD market energy: -38.58%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 17.7%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 21.42%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H4 · 2026-09-10 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-41.8%
Bear Bias
-38.6%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, Result for ADAUSD: the Bear Bias level.

Per the 2AI model, Market trend energy recorded a +3.2% rise from the previous candle, from -41.8% to -38.6%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 7 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -45.8 to +75.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.2092, down 0.24% from the previous candle (0.2097). Market Energy was -38.6%, up 3.2 points from -41.8%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2092, down 0.24% from the previous 4H candle (0.2097). This drop is larger than 15% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 16,854 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 3.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -41.8% to -38.6%. This rise is larger than 22% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price decline with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ADAUSD at -41.8%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -38.6%, ADAUSD is 17.7 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 21.42 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -82.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -90.3%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bear Bias, -38.6%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -7.5%. ADAUSD energy is currently below DXY by 31.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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