Research

NZDUSD W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
615 NZDUSD W candles
Period
2015-01-05 – 2026-10-12 (11.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D4H1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

NZDUSD — Bear Extreme — W

Occurrences: 8 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 8 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

NZDUSD — Bear Critical — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 25 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 20 times — 80%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 5 times — 20%

Current market energy at -68.69%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 8.69 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 5.81 points

NZDUSD — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 61 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 39 times — 63.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 22 times — 36.1%

NZDUSD — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 77 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 36 times — 46.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 41 times — 53.2%

NZDUSD — Bull Bias — W

Occurrences: 48 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 12 times — 25%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 36 times — 75%

NZDUSD — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 17 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 5 times — 29.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 12 times — 70.6%

NZDUSD — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 6 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 6 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of NZDUSD?

Historically, when NZDUSD was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 80% of the time and down to a lower zone 20% of the time (across 25 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -68.69%, 8.69 points from the upper bound and 5.81 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 615 candles from 2015-01-05 to 2026-10-12, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing NZDUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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