Research

NZDUSD 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
73,230 NZDUSD 1H candles
Period
2015-01-01 – 2026-10-08 (11.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
ENERGY SHIFTS
▲ to a higher zone▼ to a lower zone★ current position

NZDUSD — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 1,045 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,045 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

NZDUSD — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 2,350 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,661 times — 70.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 689 times — 29.3%

NZDUSD — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 5,789 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 4,035 times — 69.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,754 times — 30.3%

NZDUSD — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 7,519 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 3,672 times — 48.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 3,847 times — 51.2%

NZDUSD — Bull Bias — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 5,580 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,732 times — 31%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 3,848 times — 69%

Current market energy at 42.82%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 17.18 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 21.94 points

NZDUSD — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 2,269 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 576 times — 25.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,693 times — 74.6%

NZDUSD — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 904 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 904 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of NZDUSD?

Historically, when NZDUSD was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 31% of the time and down to a lower zone 69% of the time (across 5,580 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 42.82%, 17.18 points from the upper bound and 21.94 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 73,230 candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-10-08, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing NZDUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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