Research

NZDUSD 4H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
18,357 NZDUSD 4H candles
Period
2014-12-31 – 2026-10-22 (11.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

NZDUSD — Bear Extreme — 4H

Occurrences: 266 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 266 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

NZDUSD — Bear Critical — 4H

Occurrences: 661 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 474 times — 71.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 187 times — 28.3%

NZDUSD — Bear Bias — 4H

Occurrences: 1,562 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,055 times — 67.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 507 times — 32.5%

NZDUSD — Neutral — 4H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 2,014 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,007 times — 50%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,007 times — 50%

Current market energy at -15.45%
Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 36.33 points
Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 5.43 points

NZDUSD — Bull Bias — 4H

Occurrences: 1,516 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 477 times — 31.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,039 times — 68.5%

NZDUSD — Bull Critical — 4H

Occurrences: 606 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 166 times — 27.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 440 times — 72.6%

NZDUSD — Bull Extreme — 4H

Occurrences: 213 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 213 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of NZDUSD?

Historically, when NZDUSD was in the Neutral zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 50% of the time and down to a lower zone 50% of the time (across 2,014 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%. The market is at -15.45%, 36.33 points from the upper bound and 5.43 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 18,357 candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing NZDUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .