Analysis

NZDUSD 0.56533 ↑0.7%: Bears very strong · W Oct 12, 2026

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Candle open
Price and energy
Open 0.56141 · High 0.56751 · Low 0.55653 · Close 0.56533 · Range (high − low) 0.01098
NZDUSD closed at 0.56533, up 0.003945 (+0.70%) from 0.56138.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Extreme zone at -88.0% to Bear Critical at -68.7%, up 19.3 points.
Price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.566380.561550.561380.56533
Energy-91.7%-93.1%-88.0%-68.7%
Price change↓ 1.03%↓ 0.85%↓ 0.03%↑ 0.70%
Energy change↓ 16.2↓ 1.4↑ 5.1↑ 19.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 1.03%↓ 0.85%↓ 0.03%↑ 0.70%↓ 16.2↓ 1.4↑ 5.1↑ 19.3
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.70% — higher than 34% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 19.3 pts — higher than 68% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical NZDUSD Weekly

Sample: 615 Weekly candles from 2015-01-05 to 2026-10-12
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 25 times

▸When NZDUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then NZDUSD moved to higher Market State: 20 times — 80%
  • then NZDUSD moved to lower Market State: 5 times — 20%

▸Current NZDUSD market energy: -68.69%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 8.69%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 5.81%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

NZDUSD · W1 · 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NZDUSD chart →
Market Energy
-88.0%
Bear Extreme
-68.7%
Bear Critical
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the Weekly data updates, NZDUSD classified as Bear Critical of Market Energy.

The energy side shows Market Energy rose +19.3% this candle, currently -68.7% (previous candle -88%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDUSD price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle closed at 07:00 on 12-10-2026, NZDUSD was at 0.56533, up 0.7% from the previous candle (0.56138). Market Energy was -68.7%, up 19.3 points from -88%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did NZDUSD price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDUSD closed at 0.56533, up 0.7% from the previous Weekly candle (0.56138). This rise is larger than 34% of past rises on the Weekly timeframe for NZDUSD, across 406 candles since 2019.

How did NZDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 19.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -88% to -68.7%. This rise is larger than 68% of past rises on the Weekly timeframe for NZDUSD.

Do NZDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NZDUSD in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had NZDUSD at -88%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, NZDUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does NZDUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -68.7%, NZDUSD is 8.69 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 5.81 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 79.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 68.1%. Against this backdrop, NZDUSD (Bear Critical, -68.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -97.1%. NZDUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDUSD on the NZDUSD overview →

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