USDJPY
USDJPY: studying 397 times Bulls had the edge
Historical energy-state statistics for USDJPY across H1, H4, Daily, Weekly — from each timeframe's current zone.
Zone change
W
D
4H
1H
State
Bear Bias
Bull Bias
Bear Extreme
Bear Critical
To higher zone
63.5%
48.1%
100%
71.9%
To lower zone
36.5%
51.9%
0%
28.1%
Dist. upper
5.3 pts
30.3 pts
8.7 pts
4.3 pts
Dist. lower
33.8 pts
8.9 pts
16.8 pts
10.2 pts
Time in zone
Avg time
1.9 candles
2.1 candles
3.3 candles
1.7 candles
Longest
8 candles
13 candles
15 candles
10 candles
Current time
4 candles
3 candles
4 candles
3 candles
Count
52 ×
Bear Bias
397 ×
Bull Bias
581 ×
Bear Extreme
3100 ×
Bear Critical
Sample candles
615
4072
18372
73512
Survey span
~12y
~11y
~8y
~8y
Zone change — notes
W: Tendency to leave the energy zone: 64% up / 37% down. Now to lower edge 33.8 pts, to upper edge 5.3 pts.
D: Tendency to leave the energy zone: 48% up / 52% down. Now to lower edge 8.9 pts, to upper edge 30.3 pts.
4H: Tendency to leave the energy zone: 100% up / 0% down. Now to lower edge 16.8 pts, to upper edge 8.7 pts.
1H: Tendency to leave the energy zone: 72% up / 28% down. Now to lower edge 10.2 pts, to upper edge 4.3 pts.
Time in zone — notes
W: usually in Bear Bias about 1.9 candles, longest 8 candles; now 4 candles (longer than average).
D: usually in Bull Bias about 2.1 candles, longest 13 candles; now 3 candles (longer than average).
4H: usually in Bear Extreme about 3.3 candles, longest 15 candles; now 4 candles (longer than average).
1H: usually in Bear Critical about 1.7 candles, longest 10 candles; now 3 candles (longer than average).
Frequently asked questions
From its current zone, does USDJPY tend to move up or down?
W (Bear Bias): 64% to higher / 37% to lower; D (Bull Bias): 48% to higher / 52% to lower; 4H (Bear Extreme): 100% to higher / 0% to lower; 1H (Bear Critical): 72% to higher / 28% to lower.
How long does USDJPY usually stay in its current zone?
W: about 1.9 candles (longest 8); D: about 2.1 candles (longest 13); 4H: about 3.3 candles (longest 15); 1H: about 1.7 candles (longest 10).
How far is USDJPY from the zone-change thresholds now?
W: 5.3 pts to upper edge, 33.8 pts to lower; D: 30.3 pts to upper edge, 8.9 pts to lower; 4H: 8.7 pts to upper edge, 16.8 pts to lower; 1H: 4.3 pts to upper edge, 10.2 pts to lower.
See current analysis →How much data are these statistics based on?
W: 615 candles (~12y); D: 4072 candles (~11y); 4H: 18372 candles (~8y); 1H: 73512 candles (~8y).