COCOA
COCOA: studying 233 times Bulls had the edge
Historical energy-state statistics for COCOA across H1, H4, Daily, Weekly — from each timeframe's current zone.
Zone change
W
D
4H
1H
State
Neutral
Bull Bias
Bear Bias
Bear Critical
To higher zone
52.4%
47.6%
73.3%
65.9%
To lower zone
47.6%
52.4%
26.7%
34.1%
Dist. upper
23.3 pts
38.7 pts
7.7 pts
0.3 pts
Dist. lower
18.5 pts
0.5 pts
31.4 pts
14.2 pts
Time in zone
Avg time
2.2 candles
1.9 candles
2.7 candles
1.5 candles
Longest
8 candles
7 candles
5 candles
8 candles
Current time
3 candles
1 candles
1 candles
3 candles
Count
42 ×
Neutral
233 ×
Bull Bias
15 ×
Bear Bias
1009 ×
Bear Critical
Sample candles
598
2649
128
19991
Survey span
~11y
~7y
~1mo
~2y
Zone change — notes
W: Tendency to leave the energy zone: 52% up / 48% down. Now to lower edge 18.5 pts, to upper edge 23.3 pts.
D: Tendency to leave the energy zone: 48% up / 52% down. Now to lower edge 0.5 pts, to upper edge 38.7 pts.
4H: Tendency to leave the energy zone: 73% up / 27% down. Now to lower edge 31.4 pts, to upper edge 7.7 pts.
1H: Tendency to leave the energy zone: 66% up / 34% down. Now to lower edge 14.2 pts, to upper edge 0.3 pts.
Time in zone — notes
W: usually in Neutral about 2.2 candles, longest 8 candles; now 3 candles (longer than average).
D: usually in Bull Bias about 1.9 candles, longest 7 candles; now 1 candles (shorter than average).
4H: usually in Bear Bias about 2.7 candles, longest 5 candles; now 1 candles (shorter than average).
1H: usually in Bear Critical about 1.5 candles, longest 8 candles; now 3 candles (longer than average).
Frequently asked questions
From its current zone, does COCOA tend to move up or down?
W (Neutral): 52% to higher / 48% to lower; D (Bull Bias): 48% to higher / 52% to lower; 4H (Bear Bias): 73% to higher / 27% to lower; 1H (Bear Critical): 66% to higher / 34% to lower.
How long does COCOA usually stay in its current zone?
W: about 2.2 candles (longest 8); D: about 1.9 candles (longest 7); 4H: about 2.7 candles (longest 5); 1H: about 1.5 candles (longest 8).
How far is COCOA from the zone-change thresholds now?
W: 23.3 pts to upper edge, 18.5 pts to lower; D: 38.7 pts to upper edge, 0.5 pts to lower; 4H: 7.7 pts to upper edge, 31.4 pts to lower; 1H: 0.3 pts to upper edge, 14.2 pts to lower.
See current analysis →How much data are these statistics based on?
W: 598 candles (~11y); D: 2649 candles (~7y); 4H: 128 candles (~1mo); 1H: 19991 candles (~2y).