Analysis

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Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,361.81 to 4,358.49, down 0.08%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 75.9% to Bull Critical 64.0%, down 11.9 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.70%0.10%0.11%0.08%
Energy2.110.410.411.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.70% 0.10% 0.11% 0.08% 2.1 10.4 10.4 11.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.08% — higher than 46% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.9 pts — higher than 58% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,354 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 3,601 times

When XAUUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,121 times31.1%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,480 times68.9%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 63.95%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 10.55%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 3.95%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2026-09-11 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
75.9%
Bull Extreme
64.0%
Bull Critical
Expected at
02:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle completes, XAUUSD reflects the Bull Critical measurement.

Market energy movement Compared to the previous candle (75.9%), Market Energy dropped -11.9% to 64%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -90 to +98.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 00:00 on 12-09-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,358.49, down 0.08% from the previous candle (4,361.81). Market Energy was 64%, down 11.9 points from 75.9%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,358.49, down 0.08% from the previous 1H candle (4,361.81). This drop is larger than 46% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 45,602 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 75.9% to 64%. This drop is larger than 58% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at 75.9%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 64%, XAUUSD is 10.55 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 3.95 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 80.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 61%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Critical, 64%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -62.2%. XAUUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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