Analysis

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Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,455.12 to 4,430.33, down 0.56%
Market Energy Bull Critical 69.6% to Bull Bias 51.5%, down 18.1 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.86%5.35%3.24%0.56%
Energy28.715.516.018.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.86% 5.35% 3.24% 0.56% 28.7 15.5 16.0 18.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.56% — higher than 32% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 18.1 pts — higher than 66% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias XAUUSD Weekly

Sample: 712 Weekly candles from 2013-01-14 to 2026-08-31
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 67 times

When XAUUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 29 times43.3%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 38 times56.7%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 51.52%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 8.48%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 30.64%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · W1 · 2026-08-31 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
69.6%
Bull Critical
51.5%
Bull Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the Weekly candle completes, Result for XAUUSD: the Bull Bias state.

The XAUUSD market at session end, Compared to the previous candle (69.6%), Market Energy dropped -18.1% to 51.5%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 31-08-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,430.33, down 0.56% from the previous candle (4,455.12). Market Energy was 51.5%, down 18.1 points from 69.6%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,430.33, down 0.56% from the previous Weekly candle (4,455.12). This drop is larger than 32% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for XAUUSD, across 400 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 18.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 69.6% to 51.5%. This drop is larger than 66% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had XAUUSD at 69.6%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 51.5%, XAUUSD is 8.48 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 30.64 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -78%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -61.5%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Bias, 51.5%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 68.8%. XAUUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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